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Qual 242016 Beach Blitz
Red113
580245.6
69639.3
432225.7
Blue129
347650.1
513633.4
512441.5
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104131050150200250300113129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#18
45.60.6
36.3→36.9
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
blue by 4.4
3476
#20
50.10.1
50.8→50.9
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End6.4
Second
696
#5
39.30.6
37.6→38.2
Auto9.9
Teleop24.9
End4.5
blue by 2.2
5124
#3
41.50.1
40.8→40.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End4.8
Third
4322
#23
25.70.6
30.5→31.1
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 7.6
5136
#10
33.40.1
31.6→31.7
Auto8.4
Teleop21.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned15%Capture oddsMissed