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Red81
969627.0
461928.5
375917.4
Blue71
583526.2
98022.2
249329.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63900501001508171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4619
#13
28.51.1
27.628.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End3.9
blue by 1.2
2493
#25
29.70.8
34.233.4
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Second
9696
#15
27.01.8
20.021.7
Auto6.0
Teleop18.7
End2.2
red by 0.9
5835
#12
26.20.8
24.723.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Third
3759
#27
17.41.1
17.418.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 4.8
980
#21
22.20.8
24.423.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed