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Red76
583526.2
330B44.7
427633.8
Blue82
432225.7
450124.7
249329.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058502040601201401607682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330B
Unranked
44.72.9
39.236.3
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End3.9
red by 15.1
2493
#25
29.70.2
32.332.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Second
4276
#14
33.81.9
35.633.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End4.4
red by 8.1
4322
#23
25.70.2
27.627.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
Third
5835
#12
26.21.9
24.422.5
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 1.5
4501
#24
24.70.2
25.825.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed