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Qual 382016 Beach Blitz
Red140
330959.9
432225.7
512441.5
Blue107
461928.5
96840.6
583526.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12987050100150200250140107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#1
59.91.4
51.7→53.1
Auto10.9
Teleop41.9
End7.1
red by 19.3
968
#11
40.60.8
40.1→40.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Second
5124
#3
41.51.4
40.1→41.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End4.8
red by 13.0
4619
#13
28.50.8
27.5→28.3
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End3.9
Third
4322
#23
25.71.4
27.4→28.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 0.4
5835
#12
26.20.8
22.5→23.3
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
39%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsEarned