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Qual 442016 Beach Blitz
Red119
96840.6
583526.2
580245.6
Blue86
432225.7
68732.1
499924.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1168405010015020011986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#18
45.60.4
43.6→44.0
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
red by 13.6
687
#9
32.10.3
32.7→32.4
Auto8.6
Teleop18.2
End5.3
Second
968
#11
40.60.4
40.9→41.3
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End5.8
red by 14.8
4322
#23
25.70.3
28.8→28.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
Third
5835
#12
26.20.4
23.3→23.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 2.0
4999
#22
24.10.3
24.5→24.2
Auto2.9
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed