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Red133
330B44.7
69639.3
29442.5
Blue123
581035.1
33066.3
567820.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12512150100150200133123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330B
Unranked
44.71.0
40.541.6
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End3.9
blue by 21.6
330
#2
66.30.3
62.562.8
Auto14.8
Teleop43.2
End8.4
Second
294
#16
42.50.8
43.744.5
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End4.4
red by 7.5
35.10.3
35.235.5
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.7
Third
696
#5
39.30.8
37.037.8
Auto9.9
Teleop24.9
End4.5
red by 18.4
5678
#19
20.90.3
20.620.9
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsEarned