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Red76
249329.7
68732.1
375917.4
Blue137
499924.1
33066.3
513633.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7213305010015020025076137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#9
32.10.5
32.532.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.2
End5.3
blue by 34.2
330
#2
66.31.1
63.664.7
Auto14.8
Teleop43.2
End8.4
Second
2493
#25
29.70.5
28.227.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
blue by 3.7
5136
#10
33.41.1
32.833.9
Auto8.4
Teleop21.7
End3.2
Third
3759
#27
17.40.5
17.917.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 6.7
4999
#22
24.11.1
24.125.2
Auto2.9
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsEarned