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Red101
96840.6
427633.8
450124.7
Blue91
461928.5
98022.2
580245.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10498020030040050060070010191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#11
40.60.1
41.641.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End5.8
blue by 5.1
5802
#18
45.60.3
44.043.7
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
Second
4276
#14
33.80.1
33.733.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End4.4
red by 5.3
4619
#13
28.50.3
29.329.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End3.9
Third
4501
#24
24.70.1
24.724.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End3.4
red by 2.5
980
#21
22.20.3
22.522.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed