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Semifinal 1-12016 Beach Blitz
Red235
33066.3
330959.9
583526.2
Blue117
29442.5
581035.1
450124.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20911250150250300350235117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
66.30.9
64.8→65.7
Auto14.8
Teleop43.2
End8.4
red by 23.8
294
#16
42.50.1
42.7→42.6
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Second
3309
#1
59.90.9
58.3→59.3
Auto10.9
Teleop41.9
End7.1
red by 24.8
5810
#6
35.10.1
35.2→35.1
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.7
Third
5835
#12
26.20.9
24.6→25.6
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 1.5
4501
#24
24.70.1
24.8→24.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End3.4