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Red210
167872.0
603918.9
325061.1
Blue217
2122B52.9
212265.7
617430.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19518850100150250300350210217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.1
71.871.8
Auto17.2
Teleop48.2
End6.7
red by 6.4
65.70.1
64.764.9
Auto15.9
Teleop36.6
End13.1
Second
61.10.1
60.960.9
Auto16.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
red by 8.3
52.90.1
51.952.0
Auto17.5
Teleop29.1
End6.3
Third
6039
#26
18.90.1
18.818.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End3.8
blue by 11.8
6174
#15
30.70.1
29.829.9
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8