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Red65
567720.4
2073B34.2
166225.7
Blue80
167144.5
318919.2
549626.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8383506070901001101206580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.217.9
35.617.7
Auto7.4
Teleop21.1
End5.6
blue by 10.3
44.50.8
41.640.8
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End6.5
Second
1662
#17
25.71.2
28.927.6
Auto10.1
Teleop10.6
End5.1
blue by 0.8
26.50.8
19.819.0
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Third
5677
#37
20.41.2
29.928.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End2.9
red by 1.2
3189
#24
19.20.8
21.220.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed