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Qual 112016 Capital City Classic
Red71
549922.9
545817.5
167144.5
Blue74
594028.8
527421.0
819.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94590501507174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#7
44.51.0
40.8→39.7
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End6.5
red by 15.6
5940
#16
28.80.1
19.1→19.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End2.7
Second
5499
#25
22.91.0
24.4→23.4
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8
red by 1.9
5274
#21
21.00.1
20.4→20.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.6
End1.0
Third
5458
#31
17.51.0
21.2→20.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End1.2
blue by 1.8
8
#23
19.30.1
23.1→23.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed