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Red85
207334.5
585227.2
464315.5
Blue58
359827.1
29921.8
469827.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73630501001508558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#18
34.50.4
35.736.1
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End1.6
red by 7.4
4698
#14
27.10.4
25.525.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.8
End3.4
Second
5852
#13
27.20.4
23.123.6
Auto2.9
Teleop20.5
End3.7
red by 0.1
3598
#30
27.10.3
26.225.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Third
4643
#35
15.50.4
10.310.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 6.3
299
#32
21.80.5
10.710.2
Auto9.7
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed