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Red121
212265.7
617430.7
549626.5
Blue52
549922.9
70124.3
1671B19.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016005015012152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.71.9
52.454.2
Auto15.9
Teleop36.6
End13.1
red by 41.4
701
#36
24.30.8
22.822.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.1
End3.0
Second
6174
#15
30.72.3
20.022.3
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8
red by 7.8
5499
#25
22.90.8
23.422.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Third
26.51.9
20.422.3
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 6.7
19.81.4
18.317.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed