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Red80
2122B52.9
464315.5
29921.8
Blue163
212265.7
167872.0
549922.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3517605010015020025030080163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.92.9
30.733.6
Auto17.5
Teleop29.1
End6.3
blue by 19.2
72.00.2
68.868.6
Auto17.2
Teleop48.2
End6.7
Second
299
#32
21.82.9
13.616.4
Auto9.7
Teleop10.7
End1.5
blue by 43.8
65.70.2
57.657.4
Auto15.9
Teleop36.6
End13.1
Third
4643
#35
15.51.7
9.811.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 7.4
5499
#25
22.90.2
24.624.4
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed83%Capture oddsEarned