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Red54
469827.1
464315.5
29528.6
Blue73
325061.1
545817.5
594028.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6211601001502002505473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
295
#19
28.60.9
28.127.2
Auto9.6
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 32.5
61.12.1
60.458.3
Auto16.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
Second
4698
#14
27.11.3
26.825.5
Auto8.9
Teleop14.8
End3.4
blue by 1.7
5940
#16
28.82.1
21.219.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End2.7
Third
4643
#35
15.50.9
12.811.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 2.0
5458
#31
17.52.1
23.321.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed