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Red75
464315.5
359827.1
325633.3
Blue91
973B30.9
425517.7
617430.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66620501001502007591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#28
33.30.4
28.228.6
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End3.2
red by 2.3
973B
#10
30.93.3
21.624.9
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Second
3598
#30
27.10.4
23.724.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
blue by 3.6
6174
#15
30.72.0
24.426.4
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8
Third
4643
#35
15.50.4
11.712.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 2.2
4255
#33
17.72.0
15.117.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed23%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed