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Red96
594028.8
617430.7
549922.9
Blue124
469827.1
70124.3
97337.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7673406010012096124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6174
#15
30.70.1
26.526.6
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8
blue by 6.7
973
#12
37.32.5
29.732.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End7.2
Second
5940
#16
28.80.1
25.926.0
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End2.7
red by 1.7
4698
#14
27.12.5
25.628.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.8
End3.4
Third
5499
#25
22.90.1
16.816.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8
blue by 1.4
701
#36
24.32.5
20.623.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed