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Red54
208517.9
264315.9
70124.3
Blue87
545817.5
1323B45.7
464315.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557501001505487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#36
24.30.2
23.223.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.1
End3.0
blue by 21.4
45.71.5
40.542.0
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End3.0
Second
2085
#27
17.90.2
19.018.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End2.6
red by 0.4
5458
#31
17.51.1
16.317.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Third
2643
#22
15.90.2
14.514.3
Auto1.7
Teleop13.0
End1.1
red by 0.4
4643
#35
15.51.1
13.314.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed