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Red93
594028.8
567720.4
585227.2
Blue124
167872.0
701B8.8
617430.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6911705010015020093124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#16
28.81.3
26.027.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End2.7
blue by 43.2
72.01.2
71.172.3
Auto17.2
Teleop48.2
End6.7
Second
5852
#13
27.21.3
27.628.8
Auto2.9
Teleop20.5
End3.7
blue by 3.5
6174
#15
30.71.2
26.627.8
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8
Third
5677
#37
20.41.3
20.021.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End2.9
red by 11.6
701B
#34
8.81.6
8.710.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsEarned