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Qual 682016 Capital City Classic
Red116
549922.9
264315.9
325061.1
Blue130
325633.3
385943.7
594028.8
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95104050150200116130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#3
61.11.5
60.3→61.8
Auto16.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
red by 17.4
3859
#4
43.72.0
41.4→43.4
Auto9.1
Teleop31.4
End3.2
Second
5499
#25
22.91.5
18.6→20.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8
blue by 10.4
3256
#28
33.32.0
31.2→33.2
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End3.2
Third
2643
#22
15.91.5
14.3→15.9
Auto1.7
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 13.0
5940
#16
28.82.0
27.3→29.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed