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Red173
167872.0
603918.9
325061.1
Blue155
97337.3
2073B34.2
549922.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21493050150200250300173155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.8
72.671.8
Auto17.2
Teleop48.2
End6.7
red by 34.7
973
#12
37.30.4
37.037.3
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End7.2
Second
61.10.8
61.760.9
Auto16.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
red by 27.0
34.20.4
33.834.2
Auto7.4
Teleop21.1
End5.6
Third
6039
#26
18.90.8
19.618.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End3.8
blue by 4.0
5499
#25
22.90.4
22.522.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8