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Semifinal 2-12016 Capital City Classic
Red178
2122B52.9
212265.7
617430.7
Blue187
1323B45.7
385943.7
166225.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19912850100150250300178187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#2
65.70.1
64.5→64.5
Auto15.9
Teleop36.6
End13.1
red by 20.0
1323B
#11
45.70.6
45.4→46.0
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End3.0
Second
2122B
#5
52.90.1
51.6→51.6
Auto17.5
Teleop29.1
End6.3
red by 9.1
3859
#4
43.70.5
43.5→44.0
Auto9.1
Teleop31.4
End3.2
Third
6174
#15
30.70.1
29.5→29.6
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8
red by 4.9
1662
#17
25.70.5
25.5→26.0
Auto10.1
Teleop10.6
End5.1