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Qual 192016 CalGames
Red95
64935.1
517121.0
476521.8
Blue38
350110.7
170018.2
255117.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724102060801001209538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#2
35.11.3
28.1→29.4
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
red by 16.8
1700
#26
18.20.4
17.5→17.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
4765
#1
21.81.4
19.4→20.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 4.2
2551
#27
17.50.5
15.2→14.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Third
5171
#20
21.01.4
18.1→19.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 10.2
3501
#31
10.70.4
11.8→11.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned15%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed