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Qual 242016 CalGames
Red48
425515.7
510421.9
128026.7
Blue97
502717.5
490433.9
67026.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60700501001504897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#16
26.70.8
25.5→24.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End5.8
blue by 7.2
4904
#5
33.92.0
30.7→32.7
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Second
5104
#22
21.90.8
19.6→18.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1
blue by 4.2
670
#18
26.12.0
22.2→24.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.8
Third
4255
#33
15.70.8
14.8→14.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 1.9
5027
#30
17.52.2
13.8→16.0
Auto8.3
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned