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Qual 372016 CalGames
Red82
490433.9
417116.9
418625.6
Blue44
10017.2
75123.6
543013.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8058020401001201401608244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#5
33.90.5
32.6→33.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
red by 10.3
751
#8
23.61.0
24.8→23.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End3.8
Second
4186
#3
25.60.5
24.7→25.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
red by 8.4
100
#35
17.21.0
20.3→19.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.8
Third
4171
#24
16.90.5
17.3→17.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End2.6
red by 3.8
5430
#34
13.21.0
14.1→13.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed