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Red65
196727.3
350110.7
248918.6
Blue107
128026.7
67026.1
590522.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587805010015065107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#15
27.30.4
26.526.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
red by 0.6
1280
#16
26.71.0
26.026.9
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End5.8
Second
2489
#32
18.60.4
19.019.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 7.5
670
#18
26.11.0
24.625.6
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.8
Third
3501
#31
10.70.4
13.513.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.2
blue by 12.2
5905
#13
22.91.0
22.123.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed