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Qual 52016 CalGames
Red64
304525.5
499020.8
824.6
Blue39
128026.7
502717.5
502614.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72630501001506439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#23
25.50.9
26.6→25.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9
blue by 1.2
1280
#16
26.71.5
27.8→26.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End5.8
Second
8
#9
24.60.7
25.8→25.1
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End5.1
red by 7.0
5027
#30
17.52.2
20.3→18.1
Auto8.3
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Third
4990
#12
20.80.7
16.4→15.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
red by 5.8
5026
#28
14.91.5
14.1→12.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed