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Semifinal 1-22016 CalGames
Red54
84634.7
476521.8
350110.7
Blue93
304525.5
186825.9
196727.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9095501505493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#10
34.70.4
36.8→36.3
Auto8.7
Teleop21.0
End5.1
red by 7.4
1967
#15
27.30.2
27.3→27.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
Second
4765
#1
21.80.4
23.8→23.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End2.2
blue by 4.1
1868
#6
25.90.2
25.9→25.7
Auto10.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Third
3501
#31
10.70.4
12.8→12.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.2
blue by 14.8
3045
#23
25.50.2
25.5→25.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9