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Qual 162016 Sacramento Regional
Red55
469826.8
107212.8
543016.6
Blue40
525015.1
464311.4
415915.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52492030406070805540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#16
26.81.0
15.6→14.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End4.5
red by 10.9
4159
#49
15.92.7
16.9→14.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Second
5430
#28
16.61.0
17.8→16.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End0.6
red by 1.4
5250
#40
15.12.7
18.5→15.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Third
1072
#58
12.81.0
15.8→14.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.7
End1.6
red by 1.3
4643
#60
11.42.7
13.9→11.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed