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Qual 282016 Sacramento Regional
Red50
361511.5
549620.9
66821.9
Blue160
58115.4
207332.0
167854.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46104020608012014016050160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#37
21.90.4
20.1→19.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.2
End5.2
blue by 32.6
1678
#4
54.52.4
50.4→52.8
Auto15.6
Teleop32.5
End6.4
Second
5496
#53
20.90.2
20.9→20.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End3.5
blue by 11.1
2073
#21
32.02.2
25.8→28.0
Auto3.7
Teleop24.3
End4.0
Third
3615
#59
11.50.4
12.3→12.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 3.9
581
#48
15.43.7
15.9→19.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned