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Red43
359826.1
513417.7
418617.1
Blue57
580815.0
84118.5
469826.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654901001504357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#51
26.11.5
30.629.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
blue by 0.6
4698
#16
26.80.2
15.315.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Second
5134
#13
17.71.5
13.211.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 0.8
841
#46
18.50.2
19.019.2
Auto2.8
Teleop15.0
End0.7
Third
4186
#55
17.12.0
17.215.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.9
End3.1
red by 2.1
5808
#23
15.00.9
15.015.9
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed