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Qual 322016 Sacramento Regional
Red67
464311.4
325038.0
550721.6
Blue42
580815.0
59722.1
255116.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755102040601001201401606742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#7
38.00.5
38.5→38.0
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End6.4
red by 15.9
597
#19
22.11.6
20.8→19.2
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End4.4
Second
5507
#18
21.60.8
20.7→19.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
red by 5.4
2551
#56
16.32.4
17.9→15.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Third
4643
#60
11.40.8
9.9→9.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 3.6
5808
#23
15.02.4
14.8→12.4
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed