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Red69
497317.3
29524.9
525015.1
Blue57
318921.2
418617.1
105631.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55553040506070806957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
295
#11
24.90.5
21.522.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End4.0
blue by 6.1
31.00.5
19.520.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End9.0
Second
4973
#45
17.30.3
15.716.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 3.9
3189
#29
21.20.3
18.719.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Third
5250
#40
15.10.5
17.117.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 2.0
4186
#55
17.10.5
14.314.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed