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Red77
210229.2
359826.1
415915.9
Blue54
135122.8
497317.3
128022.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716001001502007754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#14
29.20.6
30.030.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.1
red by 6.4
1351
#20
22.80.6
23.122.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.1
End3.1
Second
3598
#51
26.10.6
25.826.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
red by 3.4
1280
#38
22.80.6
18.417.8
Auto1.8
Teleop17.2
End3.8
Third
4159
#49
15.91.0
11.812.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End2.4
blue by 1.4
4973
#45
17.30.4
18.117.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed