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Red71
592425.0
84118.5
318921.2
Blue72
325718.2
413523.3
203527.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664050607080907172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5924
#43
25.00.7
23.524.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
blue by 2.3
27.30.8
25.726.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Second
3189
#29
21.20.4
18.519.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.2
End3.0
blue by 2.1
4135
#31
23.30.5
22.122.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End3.6
Third
841
#46
18.50.7
22.323.1
Auto2.8
Teleop15.0
End0.7
red by 0.3
3257
#25
18.20.8
16.917.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed