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Red54
66821.9
318921.2
60422.9
Blue57
550721.6
466921.2
220423.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625102040801001205457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#26
22.90.5
21.520.9
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End4.5
blue by 0.2
2204
#50
23.11.0
17.916.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Second
668
#37
21.90.5
19.819.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.2
End5.2
red by 0.3
5507
#18
21.61.0
16.015.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Third
3189
#29
21.20.4
17.617.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Level
4669
#24
21.21.0
17.016.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed