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Red111
59722.1
366927.5
469826.8
Blue90
66821.9
490427.9
128022.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67675060809010011011190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.53.1
23.526.6
Auto10.2
Teleop12.2
End5.2
blue by 0.4
27.92.7
28.731.4
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End3.5
Second
4698
#16
26.85.1
22.127.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End4.5
red by 4.0
1280
#38
22.82.7
17.820.6
Auto1.8
Teleop17.2
End3.8
Third
597
#19
22.13.1
19.222.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End4.4
red by 0.2
668
#37
21.92.7
18.821.5
Auto3.4
Teleop13.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsEarned