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Qual 692016 Sacramento Regional
Red52
525015.1
60422.9
84118.5
Blue80
325038.0
58115.4
76612.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647520401001201405280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#26
22.91.9
26.1→24.2
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End4.5
blue by 15.1
3250
#7
38.00.3
39.7→40.0
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End6.4
Second
841
#46
18.51.9
23.1→21.2
Auto2.8
Teleop15.0
End0.7
red by 3.1
581
#48
15.40.5
17.6→18.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End4.3
Third
5250
#40
15.11.9
14.6→12.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 3.0
766
#52
12.20.5
13.6→14.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed32%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed