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Red96
385925.1
617423.0
29524.9
Blue90
469826.8
454330.7
207332.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6198501509690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#30
25.12.1
23.125.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 6.9
2073
#21
32.00.3
30.730.3
Auto3.7
Teleop24.3
End4.0
Second
295
#11
24.93.3
21.725.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End4.0
blue by 5.8
30.70.3
31.931.6
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End4.1
Third
6174
#34
23.03.3
19.723.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End3.7
blue by 3.8
4698
#16
26.80.5
27.326.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed