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Qual 82016 Sacramento Regional
Red115
325038.0
454330.7
203527.3
Blue64
543016.6
549620.9
210229.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88692040608010012014011564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#7
38.02.6
34.0→36.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End6.4
red by 8.8
2102
#14
29.20.5
30.6→30.1
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Second
4543
#8
30.72.6
28.5→31.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End4.1
red by 9.8
5496
#53
20.90.5
20.8→20.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End3.5
Third
2035
#3
27.33.6
20.1→23.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End4.4
red by 10.7
5430
#28
16.60.6
18.4→17.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed