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Red82
119737.3
68727.7
447027.7
Blue30
576522.1
586922.8
528521.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101630501502008230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End4.0
red by 14.5
5869
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.2
Second
687
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End4.7
red by 5.6
5765
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End3.6
Third
4470
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End4.3
red by 6.1
5285
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds73%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds0%Capture odds