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Red32
586922.8
119737.3
98025.9
Blue76
1197B18.6
491321.2
447027.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93660501502003276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End4.0
red by 9.6
4470
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End4.3
Second
980
Unranked
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
red by 4.7
4913
Unranked
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Third
5869
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 4.1
1197B
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds74%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds1%Capture odds