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Red59
98025.9
447027.7
Blue83
520926.0
119737.3
528521.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489401502005983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4470
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End4.3
blue by 9.6
1197
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End4.0
Second
980
Unranked
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
Level
5209
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Third
No robot
No rating
5285
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds