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Red92
325540.2
458418.9
68727.7
Blue75
447027.7
59923.9
1138B14.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94630501502009275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
Unranked
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
red by 12.5
4470
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End4.3
Second
687
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End4.7
red by 3.8
599
Unranked
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End2.9
Third
4584
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6
red by 4.5
1138B
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds2%Capture odds