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Red61
69117.5
458418.9
1138B14.3
Blue64
119737.3
145223.6
520926.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions449701502002506164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4584
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 18.4
1197
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End4.0
Second
691
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
blue by 8.4
5209
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Third
1138B
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 9.3
1452
Unranked
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds