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Red55
69631.0
551026.1
20721.3
Blue55
347629.5
427626.1
113821.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961074060801201401605555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#22
31.00.8
31.330.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End7.4
red by 1.5
3476
#41
29.51.3
31.730.4
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
26.10.8
26.425.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Level
26.11.3
28.327.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Third
207
#59
21.30.8
21.720.9
Auto1.1
Teleop13.5
End6.7
blue by 0.5
1138
#45
21.81.3
24.022.8
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.7