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Red37
423.6
86718.0
564714.5
Blue47
499921.4
512430.5
496417.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51562040801003747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#53
23.62.6
18.015.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
blue by 6.8
5124
#18
30.51.3
23.622.3
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End4.1
Second
867
#46
18.02.6
15.512.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End1.6
blue by 3.4
4999
#37
21.410.6
25.014.3
Auto2.4
Teleop15.2
End3.8
Third
5647
#63
14.52.6
16.514.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
blue by 3.4
4964
#36DQ
17.91.3
14.613.3
Auto2.7
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed