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Red20
340815.8
96819.9
566913.3
Blue45
68723.4
59925.2
329513.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3959020801002045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#43
19.92.4
14.211.8
Auto3.1
Teleop14.3
End2.5
blue by 5.3
599
#12
25.21.0
19.518.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Second
3408
#51
15.82.4
14.211.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 7.6
687
#35
23.41.0
19.718.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.9
Third
5669
#64
13.32.4
12.810.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
blue by 0.1
3295
#52
13.41.0
15.214.2
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed