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Red45
145223.6
70217.5
60617.2
Blue79
551220.7
423.6
98124.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48494060704579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1452
#39
23.60.2
15.315.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.3
End2.5
blue by 1.3
981
#27
24.91.8
17.018.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End3.5
Second
702
#56
17.50.2
15.815.7
Auto2.2
Teleop14.5
End0.9
blue by 6.1
4
#53
23.61.8
17.719.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
Third
606
#19
17.20.2
15.315.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
blue by 3.4
5512
#48
20.71.8
12.814.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed